格鲁克:如果阿贾克斯欧冠三连胜,那为什么不能晋级呢?(格鲁克:阿贾克斯若欧冠三连胜,晋级有何不可?)
时间:2026-01-02Examining UCL Qualification
I’m thinking through historical UCL cases where teams with 9 or even 12 points haven’t advanced. Like Napoli in 2013, which had 12 points but finished third due to tiebreakers. So, this pushes back against the notion that 9 points guarantees advancement.
Now, about "格鲁克"—it could be a Chinese transliteration or relate to various characters in media or sports commentary. The user seems to be asking why Ajax can’t qualify if they win three matches. That's an interesting question!Explaining UCL Advancement

To explain why winning three matches in the group stage doesn’t guarantee qualification, it's important to note that each team plays six matches. That means three wins give you 9 points, but you can still end up third if others have more points. For instance, in the 2013-14 season, Napoli had 12 points but finished third due to tiebreakers. Historically, since 1999, three wins can be enough but isn't a sure thing.
Let’s keep this concise!Illustrating UCL Scenario
Let’s create a concrete scenario to illustrate why Ajax might finish third even with 9 points.
Suppose Team A beats Ajax twice, giving A 6 points. Ajax then beats Team D twice and Team C once, but loses to A twice and C once, resulting in 3 wins and 3 losses — so 9 points total.
If Team A and Team C both finish with over 12 points, Ajax will be third. For example:
This highlights how tricky advancement can be!Validating the Scenario
In the scenario I created, we have Team A finishing with 15, Team C with 12, Team B with 9, and Team D with 0. This means Team B could be third despite having 3 wins. To validate it, each team plays twice, and the total summation of points across the group is 36.
This setup checks out, so 3 wins may not be enough to guarantee advancement. A real example is the 2013-14 UCL, where Napoli had 12 points but was eliminated. There are other instances too, like in 2018-19, where both Inter and Napoli faced elimination despite having 10 points.Clarifying UCL Qualification
It seems the user is asking why Ajax can't advance if they have three consecutive wins. Let's clarify this!
In the group stage, where each team plays 6 matches, 3 wins equal 9 points, but this isn't enough to guarantee advancement. Other teams can also earn higher points. For instance, if Ajax finishes with 9 points and other teams have 12+, Ajax may end up third.
Here are some real examples:
To summarize, three consecutive wins don't ensure qualification; it also depends on other results and tiebreakers.
核心点:欧冠小组赛打6场,三连胜=9分,但晋级看小组前二的总积分和相互战绩,9分并不保证前二。
为什么可能出局
一个可行的比分构造
真实先例
结论:三连胜只是“很大概率”能晋级,但不是数学保证;关键看同组对手拿分与相互战绩。